Nigeria’s crude oil production in October 2025 reached 1.401 million barrels per day (bpd), a slight increase from September’s 1.39 million bpd, but still below the OPEC-assigned quota of 1.5 million bpd.
This marks the third consecutive month Nigeria has failed to meet its quota, reflecting ongoing challenges in sustaining output. According to OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), the last time Nigeria met its quota was in July 2025.
Quarterly figures indicate a broader decline in production. Nigeria averaged 1.444 million bpd in Q3 2025, down from 1.481 million bpd in Q2 and 1.468 million bpd in Q1. Analysts highlight that pipeline vandalism, oil theft, ageing infrastructure, and project funding gaps continue to hamper upstream operations despite recent government interventions and foreign investments.
Globally, oil markets shifted in October as supply exceeded demand by 500,000 bpd, reversing September’s shortfall. OPEC attributes this to a 890,000-bpd increase in non-OPEC production, over half of which came from the United States. This global context underscores the challenges Nigeria faces in balancing production growth with international market pressures.
Amid these challenges, Nigeria’s Minister of State for Petroleum, Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, announced plans to formally request OPEC to raise Nigeria’s quota to 2 million bpd. With new drilling rigs, revived oil fields, and investment by international oil companies, authorities hope security and infrastructure improvements can support production growth, strengthening Nigeria’s fiscal position in 2026.
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